Sunday, March 31, 2013

MLB Season Preview



Its that time of year again, as March turns into April, and the dreams of 32 teams reignite to last through October and into the Fall Classic. In this preview, I'll predict the records of each team, followed by a summary of the division. I'll also include MVP/Cy Young top 3 predictions, along with post-season predictions. So with that, lets begin.


Tampa Bay Rays: 92-70
Toronto Blue Jays: 89-73
Boston Red Sox: 86-76
Baltimore Orioles: 81-81
New York Yankees: 76-86


Despite the James Shields trade, I think the Rays will come out on top, in part because this division is so wide open. I have 4 of the 5 teams at or above .500. The Blue Jays went all in this offseason, but it'll be hard to make up the ground for last year's 73 win season. The Red Sox are coming off one of their worst seasons in recent memory, and realized that in the offseason, bringing in a lot of complementary pieces like Napoli, Dempster and D. Ross. If they're still in it by the trade deadline, with an acquisition they could be right in the picture to take it all. Meanwhile, the Orioles luck might run out, with the amount of 1-run and extra inning games they won last year. And lastly, the Yankees. This could be their '12 Red Sox-like season, with the amount of injuries and turmoil they're facing already. 


Detroit Tigers: 96-66
Kansas City Royals: 87-75
Cleveland Indians: 84-78
Chicago White Sox: 80-82
Minnesota Twins: 71-91


The Tigers enter this season with peace of mind knowing Verlander is now locked up long-term. While the Tigers may have question marks in the back of their bullpen, their lineup is still top notch, with the return of Victor Martinez who missed all of 2012. The youngsters from the Royals may finally emerge, and their rotation got a boost with James Shields at the cost of top prospect Will Myers. The Indians built a solid foundation for the future, but their rotation still looks shaky. The White Sox were fairly quiet this offseason, not really sure what to expect from them. As for the Twins, well, thanks to the Astros they won't be the worst team in the AL…



Texas Rangers: 93-69
Los Angeles Angels: 91-71
Oakland Athletics: 85-77
Seattle Mariners: 79-83
Houston Astros: 58-104


Yes, the Rangers lost a lot of talent, but I still think they're good enough to take the division. Yu Darvish will be stepping into his sophomore year in the MLB, and he could reach ace status this year.  Colby Lewis and Martin Perez will bolster the rotation, coming back later in the season. The Angels should be right in it, adding Josh Hamilton to an already vaunted offense. They have some questions in the back of their rotation though. Can the Athletics repeat last year? We'll see, but they have some question marks up the middle of their infield. The Mariners offense should be improved with the additions of Morse and Morales, but still not good enough. And the Astros? Maybe 58 wins is even generous.

WildCards: 


AL MVP:
 1) Miguel Cabrera
 2) Mike Trout
 3) Yu Darvish



He may not repeat his triple-crown performance, but he'll lead a vaunted Tigers offense this season, and I think can take back-to-back MVP awards. It would be truly impressive if Trout repeats his rookie performance, but I just don't see that happening.

AL Cy Young:
1) Yu Darvish
2) Justin Verlander
3) James Shields


Darvish was solid in his rookie season, and I think he'll build upon it. Of course you can never count out Verlander, and I also think Shields could have a break-out year with the Royals.

AL Wild Card: Toronto Blue Jays Vs Los Angeles Angels
For this game, I would imagine it would be R.A Dickey vs. Jered Weaver. I would give the edge to the Angels to advance to the ALDS

ALDS: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
Two vaunted offenses, but I think the Tigers pitching gets them past the Angels. Tigers in 4

ALDS: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Seems this is a common post-season match-up recently. With the Rangers BP, I give them an edge in a series that could go the distance. Rangers in 5

ALCS: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
This would be an interesting match-up, but I think the Tigers would just be too much for the Rangers. Tigers in 6






Washington Nationals: 99-63
Atlanta Braves: 92-70
Philadelphia Phillies: 84-78
New York Mets: 79-83
Miami Marlins: 63-99


I am going to buy into the Nationals hype, they're just a complete team who improved even further during the offseason adding Soriano and Haren. The Braves could also hang around and get a wildcard bid, with their addition of the Upton brothers. For the Phillies, it all depends on the likes of Roy Halladay and other veterans such as Utley and Howard. The Mets are looking towards the future with their young players. As for the Marlins? Welp.


Cincinnati Reds: 94-68
St. Louis Cardinals: 91-71
Milwaukee Brewers: 86-76
Pittsburgh Pirates: 82-80
Chicago Cubs: 77-85

I think the Reds are just too much of a complete team not to take the division. The Cardinals will be with them, but with a hole at SS and youth at the back of their rotation could hold them just behind the Reds. The Brewers addition of Lohse should help their shaky rotation, but their offense should keep them above .500. The time is coming for the Pirates, as I see them with a winning season. With the debut of Cole and others coming soon, their time is quickly approaching to contend. The same goes for the Cubs, but not this year further down the line.


San Francisco Giants: 93-69
Arizona Diamondbacks: 89-73
Los Angels Dodgers: 84-78
Colorado Rockies: 75-87
San Diego Padres: 74-88


The Giants pitching staff is really solid, along with a strong lineup. The Diamondbacks additions should help keep them in contention. Will the Dodgers be able to coalesce? We'll see. The Rockies have some major holes in their pitching rotation that could bring them down. As for the Padres? They'll be without their star 3B Chase Headley to start the season, so it could be a rough beginning.

 Wildcards: 


NL MVP:
1) Andrew McCutchen
2) Joey Votto
3) Buster Posey



McCutchen will be the reason the Pirates finally get a winning season. Look for Votto and '12 MVP Posey to also be in the mix.

NL Cy Young:
1) Stephen Strasburg
2) Matt Cain
3) Clayton Kershaw



This could be Strasburg's first full season, after being shut down towards the stretch last season. The ace of the Giants, Cain could also be in the mix, along with the Dodgers Kershaw.

NL Wildcard: St Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
Anything could happen in this match-up, but with the Braves additions, I like them to advance.

NLDS: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals
I think the Nationals would just be too much for the Braves. Nationals in 3

NLDS: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
I think the Giants pitching would be able to settle the touted Reds lineup. Giants in 4

NLCS: San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals
This could be a classic match-up. Two very solid teams, caliber rotations. I think the Nationals offense puts them forward. Nationals in 7



World Series: Detroit Tigers vs. Washington Nationals
This could be one of the better world series match-ups we've seen in recent memory. I think this series has the potential to go the distance. In the end, I think the duo of Strasburg and Gonzalez would put the Nats over the edge. Nationals in 7










Thursday, March 28, 2013

Remembering A Friend






It took a while for me to decide how to write this, asking myself what kind of tone should it have? What should I include? How should I even start this? Realizing this is a personal post, I just decided to write what was on my mind. While this post in this instance is about a friend who recently passed, I feel like these same thoughts in this post could be used for anyone who has lost someone close to them.


Amanda Cartier was truly a terrific and good natured person, seemingly always with a smile on her face. While we had drifted apart after high school, as can tend to happen, I would still consider her a friend. She was part of a network of people within the L.H.H.S marching band that helped to get me out of my shell.

I know that those close to her are now struggling with what to do now. The best thing that you can do is to simply live your life, but in a certain aspect. Do the most with your life in honor of her. Let her memory inspire you to go above and beyond, as she would have wanted.

At the moment it seems tough, to decide what to do next, how to go on. Personally, I've pondered how this could have happened. How could someone be taken so early in life, when they had so many goals to accomplish, so much more to strive for? We'll struggle through these thoughts, but as I did, just look up towards the sky, during a sunny day, with the sun illuminating behind the clouds, or during a sunrise or sunset, and know that she is safe looking down upon us. With every slight breeze, realize that  she'll always be with us, never to be forgotten.



I don't want to get too religious with this post, but Amanda now knows of a peace none of us can know. She knows all the peace that we can never find.



If you find yourself awake 2am, unable to sleep, just close your eyes and cherish the memories. The times during band camp…the bus rides…her smile. She'll always be with us through the memories that are left with us.


With that last point, I felt it was poignant to close this post with this: As time moves on, reflect on the memories, the ones that make you smile. Over the past week, we've all shed tears, and more will be shed over this tragic loss. But live on with her in spirit. Let her inspire you.

"Don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened" - Theodor Seuss Geisel


She made this world a better place. While time will move on, and we will get back to our daily tasks and schedules, we will never be quite the same.








Tuesday, March 12, 2013

The Catholic Church: Modernization, and the importance of the 2013 Conclave



The Catholic Church is at an important cross-roads right now. Over the next several days, the Cardinals  at the Vatican will not only be selecting a new pope, they'll be selecting a new direction for the Church. Yes, it indeed is going to be a crucial time for the Catholic Church, and here's why.

It isn't exactly shocking news to hear that many Catholics feel disconnected with the Church. This has been a growing problem for some time now. According to a Washington Post - ABC News Poll, a majority of American Catholics feel disconnected with the Church, and feel out of touch with the Church's views and positions. Majority of U.S Catholics Favor Change

This growing disconnect, at least for Americans is in part because of the Church's views on birth control and contraception. For as far as one can trace, the Church has been against contraception. The Catholic Church even rejected the White House proposal on birth control in the piece of legislation commonly known as "Obamacare". Higher-ups from the Church said that the White House proposal did not do enough to offer "safeguards" for religious hospitals and institutions.

Nearly 6 in 10 Catholics would characterize the Church as not in synch with their attitudes and lifestyles, even though a majority of Catholics (in the same poll) praised the performance of out-going Pope Benedict. Catholics are at a cross-roads with the Church, disappointed in the overall institution, but not with its top official. From the last Conclave (2005) until now however, a growing number of Catholics want change with the Church, and want the Church to leave its traditional policies.

In that same Washington Post - ABC News Poll (conducted between March 7-10 of 1,001 adults), 55 percent of Catholics oppose the ban on married priests. In general, Catholics want to see more transparency within the Church, and specifically within the Vatican.

This transparency also stretches to the child abuse scandal that has plagued the Church for quite some time. About 8 in 10 Americans disapprove of the Church's actions, with a 78 percent disapproval. Differing from the ABC News Poll, a NY Times/CBS News poll found that 7 in 10 U.S Catholics disapprove of Pope Benedict's and the Vatican's response to the scandal. Catholics want to see those Priests accused with abuse to be rightfully disciplined.

In general, there is a lot of secrecy within the Vatican. This includes a Vatican banking scandal, where a report has just been released. The Vatican Bank has been described as the "most secretive bank in the world" (Forbes, Jun.26,2012).

So now, the main question, who will have to lead the Catholic Church through these troublesome times, in trying to guide the Church back into a respective light? It will certainly be a rough going for the new pope. Now, in taking a step back, I don't want you to think I'm bashing the Catholic Church. Do they have their own problems? Yes. Do they need to respond and answer for those problems? Absolutely. However, not only does the Catholic Church need to return to a light of relevancy, but I think Catholics and the World in general need it as well. I'll describe this later in my conclusion.

The Cardinals

Heading into this Conclave, there isn't any heavy favorite. Instead, there is a scattered list of 10 or so likely candidates, stretching from Italy, Africa, Latin America, and North America. I'll now provide a list of about 9-10 candidates (some candidates pulled from NBC News.)


Cardinal Angelo Scola (71yrs old): He was appointed Archbishop of Milan by Pope Benedict. Scola's writings have been described as condemnations on not only homosexuality and abortion, but also genetic engineering, birth control and feminism. His logic is seen as connecting feminism to homosexuality. Along with age, this strict conservative view would seem as a drawback.


Cardinal Marc Ouellet (68yrs old): Ouellet is a Canadian Cardinal of the Catholic Church. The Cardinal is known for his missionary work in South America, as he has been named President of the Pontifical Commission for Latin America. He had previously been the Archbishop of Quebec and primate of Canada. He has been described as "friendly, humble and flexible, not incapable of listening to others".



Cardinal Leonardo Sandri (69yrs old): He is an Argentine Cardinal of the Catholic Church. He is the current Prefect of the Congregation for the Oriental Churches in the Roman Curia. He has been involved with Jewish-Christian relations, as he was present at Pope Benedict's trip to the Yad Vashem.


Cardinal Gianfranco Ravasi (70yrs old): He is an Italian Cardinal who currently serves the Roman Curia as President of the Pontifical Council for Culture. Ravasi stated on the theory of evolution that "I want to affirm, as an 'a priori', the compatibility of the theory of evolution with the message of the Bible and the Church's theology". Ravasi also noted that the Church has not condemned the work of Charles Darwin.


Cardinal Angelo Bagnasco (70yrs old): He is an Italian Cardinal who currently serves as Archbishop of Genoa and President of the Italian Episcopal Conference. He is seen as having conservative views regarding abortion and same sex marriages, saying "Why say no to incest?" in his condemnation of same sex marriage.


Cardinal Peter Turkson (64yrs old): He is a Ghanaian Cardinal and President of the Pontifical Council for Justice & Peace. He has also served as Archbishop of Cape Coast. Turkson has been called "the lone Scripture scholar in the Pope's 'Senate' ". Turkson stood by Pope Benedict's view of condoms on the HIV/AIDS crisis, but doesn't rule out condoms in all situations. Turkson has also called for the reform of the International financial system. He has called for a distinction between human rights and moral issues.


Cardinal Odilo Scherer (63yrs old): He is a Brazilian Cardinal who currently serves as Archbishop of Sao Paulo. He is considered to be theologically moderate. He uses modern social media routinely. He has been quoted as saying "Priests aren't showmen…The Mass is not to be transformed into a show".


Cardinal Timothy Dolan (63yrs old): He is an American Cardinal who is the current Archbishop of New York. Dolan also serves as the President of the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops. He is known for his conservative values and charismatic media personality. Dolan had been assigned to investigate Priests accused of sexual misconduct in St. Louis in 2002. He has also visited the World Trade Center site, saying "We will never stop crying. But it's also about September 12th and the renewal, the rebuilding, hope, solidarity and compassion that symbolized this great community and still does".


Cardinal Sean Patrick O'Malley (68yrs old): He is an American Cardinal, currently serving as Archbishop of Boston. He is a member of the Order of Friars Minor Capuchin. Regarding abortion rights, he has said that, unless excommunicated by the Church, he would not deny communion to Catholic politicians who support such rights. O'Malley instituted one of the first comprehensive sexual abuse policies in the Catholic Church.


So what does the Church need to do?


In my view, the perfect selection for Pope would be Cardinals Ouellet, Ravasi, Scherer, Dolan or O'Malley. They each show the ability to be able to modernize the Church.

It certainly won't be easy for the Catholic Church to change. It will happen gradually over the next few years. It certainly won't be drastic change. No one is expecting the Church to suddenly embrace same-sex marriage, and really, no one is asking them to do that right now. What the Church does need to do however is to become more transparent. It will be important for the bureaucracy of the Vatican to open up and not be so secretive. This openness includes the sex-abuse scandal, with the rumors of pay-offs and cover-ups. As noted with the candidates, they have worked with the Church to be more open on this issue, Cardinal O'Malley in particular.

The Church does have to wake up on certain issues, such as birth control and contraception. One can see where the Church is coming from on contraception and the HIV/AIDS crisis, that it might become a kind of safeguard, however to say that they it won't help the crisis is still irresponsible on the Church's behalf. The Church also must stop their contradictory views in the connection with abortion and birth control. Being that the Church is against abortion, it would seem to make sense that they would support some methods of birth control. Usage of birth control will cut down on unwanted pregnancies.

It isn't about celebrity, its about service. The new Pope has to become a leader for the Church and for Catholics all over the world. They need to be accessible to the people, and to not "close the doors off". That's what the Church desperately needs to do. As I stated, they don't need to suddenly embrace same-sex marriage, but to be more open, more accepting of different people and different cultures. This includes laying off condemnations comparing the acceptance of homosexuality to incest, making claims that feminism is leading to homosexuality. Such claims are just ludicrous, and cause people to become isolated from the Church.

This isn't just Rome's Pope, or Italy's Pope, this is the World's Pope. The Church has to come to realize that. The Pope isn't just a symbol for all Catholics, but for the World. This being true, the Church has to be open to all forms of Christianity, and religions in general, whether it be Judaism, Islam, Hindu or Buddhism. All of these seek out a common bond of a spiritual relationship. The new Pope will have to be a reformer. The new Pope should focus teachings on helping the poor, on leading the case on climate change, for example.

The Pope needs to be somebody that the World can look upon for words of value, faith, wisdom and virtue, not of hate and condemnation. During tough or troubling times, we should be able to look towards the Pope for guidance.

Today's society has grown increasingly cynical regarding the Church and religion in general. This is the Catholic Church's chance to show those people that they are willing to change, they are willing to modernize the Church. Ultimately, the Church will have no other choice but to connect to today's Catholics. If not, the Catholic Church (as an organization), will continue to fall into obscurity.