Thursday, September 10, 2015

NFL 2015 Season Preview





Things were looking a little murky for the Patriots regarding Brady's previous suspension over "deflategate", but after it got overturned by the courts, the Pats are looking better than ever. The Bills should also be a team to watch, as Rex Ryan takes the reigns. They may still have QB issues, as Tyrod Taylor is now taking over, but they were able to get RB Lesean McCoy from the Eagles. The Dolphins could be a surprise team, as Ryan Tannehill is finally starting to step into his own, and the Jets...well....they're the Jets. At the very least their defense should be improved under new coach Todd Bowles.

1) Patriots (13-3)
2) Bills (10-6)
3) Dolphins (7-9)
4) Jets (5-11)

No surprise here, the Pats should be motivated with all of the offseason noise, but don't count out the Bills for a wildcard slot.





The Chiefs will be looking for avast improvement from their WRs when it comes to the Redzone this year. The up and down Chargers will be interesting to watch, however for the start Philip Rivers will be without TE Antonio Gates. Jack Del Rio is back in the coaching ranks with the Raiders, who are slowly but surely starting to build up a base with young QB Derek Carr. Carr should be helped out by a WR corps including Michael Crabtree and rookie Amari Cooper. What more can be said about the Broncos? When it comes to the regular season, Peyton Manning is among the best in the game....but its when the postseason comes around that he runs into problems.

1) Broncos (12-4)
2) Chiefs (10-6)
3) Chargers (9-7)
4) Raiders (4-12)

Like in years past, the Chiefs should make for a tough opponent, but I see the Broncos again being division champs.




The Bengals are a great, but inconsistent team at times. They should be a fairly solid defensive team, but the wildcard, as always is QB Andy Dalton. The Ravens are very much the same. How good is Joe Flacco? At times he's an aerial threat...and at others he looks absolutely lost. The Steelers' problems come from one side of the ball...defense,defense,defense. With LeBeau out and Butler in as coordinator, how will they look? The offense of Big Ben, Brown, and Bell (who will miss the first couple of games due to suspension) can carry the load, but they'll need support. And what can be said about the Browns? In just his sophomore year, it'll be a make or break season for Johnny Manziel.

1) Steelers (11-5)
2) Bengals (10-6)
3) Ravens (8-8)
4) Browns (3-13)

This should be a 3-horse race, much like last year, but I think the Steelers offense puts them a little bit over the top.



This division is fairly top heavy with the Colts and Texans. With the additions of WR Andre Johnson and RB Frank Gore, QB Andrew Luck has more weapons than ever. Could now be the time? The Texans will look to build on last year's rebound, however they're still looking for that franchise QB. The Titans will enter the Marcus Mariota era, and Blake Bortles will enter his 2nd year with the Jaguars. The Jaguars could be better than they appear.

1) Colts (12-4)
2) Texans (8-8)
3) Jaguars (6-10)
4) Titans (5-11)

 This would be different if the Texans had a reliable QB, but I just can't see a way how the Colts don't win this division.



Playoff Teams:
1) Patriots
2) Colts
3) Broncos
4) Steelers
5) Bills
6) Bengals 



AFC Wildcard Rd:

Bengals vs. Broncos

Once again, Andy Dalton makes it to the playoffs, however much like before, I think its a 1 and done deal. Broncos.



Bills vs. Steelers
The Bills playoff drought finally ends, as their defense is able to do enough to get that wildcard slot. However, the lack of a franchise QB gives this to the Steel City. Steelers.



AFC Divisional Rd:

Steelers vs. Patriots



When it comes to the playoffs, the Steelers and Patriots have a pretty long history, dating back to the Kordell Stewart-era. This time in Foxborough, New England comes out on top. Patriots


Broncos vs. Colts

This will make for a storyline, with Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck meeting in the playoffs. They seem fairly even teams, but the homefield edge gives this to Indy. Colts.



AFC Championship:

Colts vs. Patriots

Normally, a playoff game, especially one of this magnitude in New England would mean a certain win for the Pats. However, I think last year's playoff loss will leave a bitter taste in the Colts' mouth, and they'll be looking for revenge. Colts







It always seems like its going to be the Cowboys' year, and this season its no different. Their defense has gradually improved, however on the other side they'll be missing RB DeMarco Murray. The Eagles will look radically different after a lot of players shuffling in and out, including at RB as Murray will be taking over for McCoy. Besides the Jason-Pierre Paul saga, you never know what you're getting from the Giants. They seem to always be wildly inconsistent recently. As for Washington, it looks like Kirk Cousins will get his chance again at the starter role, as RG3 will be the back-up. How big of a mess will this team be?

1) Cowboys (11-5)
2) Eagles (10-6)
3) Giants (8-8)
4) Washington (5-11)

With a committee like style at RB, I think Tony Romo will have one of his best seasons yet. 





The Seahawks seem like a safe bet to make the playoffs now, and they recently added RB Fred Jackson to go along with 'Beast Mode'. The X-factor for the Cardinals will be the health of QB Carson Palmer. If he can have a healthy season, then the Cardinals could be sure-fire contenders. The 49ers had a mass-exodus of players leave, on-top of Coach John Harbaugh. The Rams could be a dark-horse playoff team, considering they added QB Nick Foles. He may be the QB to finally provide the Rams with what they need.

1) Seahawks (11-5)
2) Rams (9-7)
3) Cardinals (9-7)
4) 49ers (6-10)

It may be a safe pick, but with last year's super bowl loss still on their mind, I think the Seahawks will come out motivated to start the season.





The Packers look like a force as always, especially with how RB Eddie Lacy started to turn it on last year. The Bears look like a potential mess, as their defense is still in re-build mode, and they have serious questions at the QB position with Jay Cutler. The Lions can also be a dangerous team with QB Matthew Stafford and WR Calvin Johnson, along with RBs Ameer Abdullah and Joique Bell. But can the Lions be as good on the field as they are on paper? And the Vikings running game should be energized with Adrian Peterson returning, which should help out 2nd year QB Teddy Bridgewater

1) Packers (11-5)
2) Lions (10-6)
3) Vikings (10-6)
4) Bears (5-11)

Another fairly safe pick, but I like the Packers to take the division, although they'll have more competition than most believe.





The clock is ticking on Falcons' QB Matt Ryan to show he's a top-tier player. For the Panthers, while QB Cam Newton is a natural talent, he lacked offensive targets and protection last year. Will things be different this season? Time may be running out on Saints' QB Drew Brees, and their defense is already suffering from injuries before the season begins. The Bucs could be a dangerous team as they enter the Jameis Winston era, but that offense is still incredibly young.

1) Falcons (9-7)
2) Panthers (8-8)
3) Saints (7-9)
4) Buccaneers (6-10)

The NFC South has been tough to predict these past few years, being a mediocre division. I think Matt Ryan gets it together a bit and the Falcons win it. 



Playoff Teams:
1) Cowboys
2) Seahawks
3) Packers
4) Falcons
5) Lions
6) Vikings

NFC Wildcard Rd:

Vikings vs. Packers


I think Bridgewater has a big 2nd year and takes the Vikings to the playoffs, but it ends on a road trip to Green Bay. Packers


Lions vs. Falcons

The Lions could be a dangerous team as a wildcard. I just can't see the Falcons winning this match-up. Lions



NFC Divisional Rd:

Lions vs. Cowboys


Two teams who feel they were wronged last year in the playoffs. At home, Dallas takes this.  Cowboys 



Packers vs. Seahawks

That comeback last year by the Seahawks is probably still in Green Bay's head. I think they'll be motivated here. Packers



NFC Championship:

Packers vs. Cowboys

These predicted playoffs seem to have a common theme here, redemption. After "the catch", or lack thereof last year with Dez, I think the Cowboys take this in "Jerry Land". Cowboys








The young QB vs. The QB who's had so much expected of him. You can laugh at this all you want, but I think Romo finally gets his ring. Cowboys



















Tuesday, August 4, 2015

2015 MLB Trade Deadline Review: Pirates/Rangers/Red Sox




I could do a thorough trade deadline review, but that would take forever. So instead, here's a review/analysis of the trades made by the 3 teams I follow, Pittsburgh Pirates, Texas Rangers and the Boston Red Sox.

7/23:

Pirates: 3B Aramis Ramirez
Brewers: RP prospect Yhonathan Barrios

(Aramis Ramirez)
2015: 88G, 332PA, 25R, 73H, 20 2B, 11HR, 44RBI, 16BB, 44K, .236/.280/.408 (.688 OPS)

(Yhonathan Barrios)
2015: 1-3, 2.55era, 35G, 13SV, 42.1IP, 39H, 15R (12ER), 18BB/22K, 1.346WHIP


With both Josh Harrison and Jordy Mercer out until late August at the earliest, the Pirates needed some corner infield help. So it just so happens that they reunite with Aramis Ramirez. He had a slow start to the year, but has been heating up since June. In return, the Pirates gave up position player turned pitcher Yhonathan Barrios. He's reached AAA this year, but has had control problems.







7/27:

Red Sox: IF Josh Rutledge
Angels: OF Shane Victorino


(Josh Rutledge)
2015: (w/AAA) 81G, 351PA, 51R, 92H, 21 2B, 4 3B, 6HR, 34RBI, 21BB/67K, .286/.336/.432 (.768 OPS)

(Shane Victorino)
2015: 36G, 117PA, 11R, 24H, 2 2B, 1HR, 4RBI, 10BB/18K, .231/.310/..279 (.589 OPS)

This move was more of a pure salary dump for Boston. Also, it opens up an OF spot for international signee Rusney Castillo so Boston can see what they really got with him. If Rutledge turns out to be a productive utility player, it'll just be a plus. The Angels meanwhile stockpiled corner OF'ers during the deadline, also getting David Murphy and David DeJesus, so they certainly now have options. Victorino should also be a nice veteran presence for that team down the stretch. 




(The Red Sox wouldn't win the 2013 WS w/o Victorino's play that season)




7/29:

Pirates: P Joe Blanton
Royals: Cash Considerations


(Joe Blanton)
2015: 2-2, 3.92era, 16G (4 GS), 2SV, 43.2IP, 45H, 20R(19ER), 7BB/42K, 1.191WHIP


Blanton had been designated by the Royals, so his acquisition didn't cost much for the Pirates. Blanton has had pretty good results in his comeback this year, so he should be able to provide the Pirates with some solid long relief and/or spot starts.







7/29:

Rangers: SP Cole Hamels/RP Jake Diekman
Phillies: SP Matt Harrison/C prospect Jorge Alfaro/OF prospect Nick Williams/P prospect Jake Thompson/P prospect Alec Asher/P prospect Jerad Eickhoff

(Cole Hamels)
2015: 6-7, 3.76era, 21G/GS, 1CG, 1SO, 136.1IP, 121H, 58R/57ER, 40BB/143K, 1.181WHIP

(Jake Diekman)
2015: 2-1, 4.89era, 44G, 38.2IP, 40H, 23R/21ER, 25BB/50K, 1.681WHIP

(Matt Harrison)
2015: 1-2, 6.75era, 3G/GS, 16IP, 19H, 12R/ER, 6BB/5K, 1.563WHIP

(Jorge Alfaro)
2015: 49G, 207PA, 22R, 48H, 15 2B, 2 3B, 5HR, 21RBI, 9BB/61K, .253/.314/.432 (.746 OPS)

(Nick Williams)
2015: 97G, 415PA, 56R, 113H, 21 2B, 4 3B, 13HR, 45RBI, 32BB/77K, .299/.357/.479 (.836 OPS)

(Jake Thompson)
2015: 6-6, 4.72era, 17G/GS, 1CG, 87.2IP, 94H, 51R/46ER, 30BB/78K, 1.414WHIP

(Alec Asher)
2015: 4-10, 4.43era, 20G/GS, 107.2IP, 110H, 56R/53ER, 37BB/97K, 1.365WHIP

(Jerad Eickhoff)
2015: 10-4, 4.11era, 20G/19GS, 111.2IP, 102H, 52R/51ER, 36BB/107K, 1.236WHIP


We now get to a blockbuster, as the Rangers came out on top in the Hamels sweepstakes. Altogether, this is a win-win deal for the Rangers and the Phillies. Cole Hamels provides Texas with a much needed top of the rotation arm with Yu Darvish still recovering from TJ surgery. Hamels will also allow the Rangers to ease Darvish back in 2016. With some salary relief also exchanging hands, the Phillies were able to get some highly regarded prospects back in Alfaro/Williams/Thompson. 







7/30:

Pirates: RP Joakim Soria
Tigers: SS/OF prospect Jacoby Jones

(Joakim Soria)
2015: 3-1, 2.74era, 45G, 24SV, 42.2IP, 33H, 13R/ER, 13BB/37K, 1.078WHIP

(Jacoby Jones)
2015: 99G, 448PA, 55R, 105H, 18 2B, 3 3B, 13HR, 66RBI, 33BB/115K, .262/.320/.419 (.739 OPS)


A very solid acquisition by the Pirates. As we saw with the Royals during their 2014 run, its crucial to have a powerful BP bridge to shut down a game. Soria provides the Pirates with just that with Hughes/Watson/Soria/Melancon. The Tigers get a power-hitting prospect back, but one who is somewhat without a natural position.







7/31:

Red Sox: RP Ryan Cook
Athletics: Cash Considerations

(Ryan Cook)
2015: 0-2, 10.38era, 4G, 4.1IP, 7H, 5R/ER, 3BB/3K, 2.308WHIP


Obviously Cook's numbers don't look so hot in a brief sample this year, but he's dealt with injuries on and off. He's had a fairly solid track record from 2012-14, posting 9.0+ K/9, with era's ranging from 2.09 to 3.42. He was a 2012 All-Star with Oakland as well. Maybe Cook won't get his groove back, or maybe this will pan out like the Craig Breslow trade of 2012.





Rangers: RP Sam Dyson
Marlins: C prospect Tomas Telis/LHP prospect Cody Ege

(Sam Dyson)
2015: 3-4, 3.72era, 46G, 1SV, 46IP, 45H, 22R/19ER, 17BB/41K, 1.348WHIP

(Tomas Telis)
2015: 71G, 303PA, 43R, 83H, 15 2B, 1 3B, 5HR 26RBI, 14BB/31K, .292/.327/.405 (.732 OPS) (had a brief cup of coffee with the Rangers this season, these are his minors numbers)

(Cody Ege)
2015: 6-2, 0.97era, 36G, 2SV, 46.1IP, 34H, 13R/5ER, 23BB/65K, 1.230WHIP

Sam Dyson comes with a lot of control (at least until 2020). He should provide a stable presence in the Rangers BP. You could make the argument that the Marlins got a better package in return here than in the Mat Latos deal.





Pirates: 1B/OF Michael Morse/Cash considerations
Dodgers: OF Jose Tabata

(Michael Morse)
2015: 53G, 174PA, 8R, 34H, 4 2B, 4HR, 12RBI, 12BB/55K, .213/.276/.313 (.588 OPS)

(Jose Tabata)
2015: 27G, 38PA, 2R, 11H, 4RBI, 2BB/7K, .289/.341/.289 (.631 OPS)

Tabata's career hasn't taken off since his early contract extension with the Pirates. This year he's seen split time between the minors and majors (his major numbers are shown here). The Pirates did well to free themselves of Tabata, and in return get a player who was a fairly big piece of the Giants 2014 WS run. While Morse hasn't been nearly as productive this year, he should at least provide a solid bat off the bench.







Pirates: P J.A Happ
Mariners: P prospect Adrian Sampson

(J.A Happ)
2015: 4-6, 4.64era, 21G/20GS, 108.2IP, 121H, 58R/56ER, 32BB/82K, 1.408WHIP

(Adrian Sampson)
2015: 9-8, 3.94era, 22G/GS, 132.1IP, 142H, 62R/58ER, 29BB/100K, 1.292WHIP


With the news that A.J Burnett could be out for 4 weeks with a flexor strain, this move provides the Pirates with some SP depth. While Happ isn't spectacular by any means, he should be able to take on innings in the rotation down the stretch.