Sunday, January 10, 2016

2016 Golden Globes: Predictions



The awards season is starting to kick into gear, as the 73rd Golden Globes arrive on Sunday. Its always tough to gauge how they'll hand out awards in television, and unlike any year in recent memory, the Oscar's Best Picture race is a crowded field with several contenders. So how will that race look after the Golden Globes? I'll get into that and more with these predictions.



Best Supporting Actor, Limited Series or Motion Picture for TV:
Alan Cumming (The Good Wife)
Damian Lewis (Wolf Hall)
Ben Mendelsohn (Bloodline)
Tobias Menzies (Outlander)
Christian Slater (Mr. Robot)

The first of many awards that will be a pure guess for me. Its widely known that the Golden Globes like new TV, so with that being said, I'm going with Damian Lewis.







Best Supporting Actress, Limited Series or Motion Picture for TV:
Uzo Aduba (Orange is the New Black)
Joanne Froggatt (Downton Abbey)
Regina King (American Crime)
Judith Light (Transparent)
Maura Tierney (The Affair)

Pretty stacked field, with representatives from OITNB, Downton Abbey, and Transparent. This could go any number of ways, but I'm going with Transparent's Judith Light. I thought she was really underrated in Season 1, but think she'll get rewarded here for her continued work and presence. 








Best Actor, Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
Idris Elba (Luther)
Oscar Isaac (Show Me a Hero)
David Oyelowo (Nightengale)
Mark Rylance (Wolf Hall)
Patrick Wilson (Fargo)

Again, another field I know fairly little about....but I know enough (I hope). Fargo has gotten a lot of praise, and not just from critics alone (not merely a critic's darling...more on that later). With that being said, I think Patrick Wilson takes this one home.








Best Actress, Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
Kirsten Dunst (Fargo)
Lady Gaga (American Horror Story: Hotel)
Sarah Hay (Flesh & Bone)
Felicity Huffman (American Crime)
Queen Latifah (Bessie)

With my reasoning for Best Actor (Limited/TV Movie), you'd think I'd be going with Kirsten Dunst, right? Well, for whatever reason, I'm going with Queen Latifah. Why? I have my reasons......(I have literally no reasons, just a hunch).








Best TV Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
American Crime
American Horror Story: Hotel
Fargo
Flesh & Bone
Wolf Hall

This seems like a pretty open and shut pick, Fargo. I suppose Wolf Hall could sneak in, but I'm going with the current favorite. 







Best Actor Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Aziz Ansari (Master of None)
Gael G. Bernal (Mozart in the Jungle)
Rob Lowe (The Grinder)
Patrick Stewart (Blunt Talk)
Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent)

Given the Golden Globes' affinity for new TV, I could see Aziz Ansari winning this....but I'm putting my blinders on for Jeffrey Tambor. He just brings Transparent to life.








Best Actress Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Rachel Bloom (Crazy Ex-Girlfriend)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Scream Queens)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Gina Rodriguez (Jane the Virgin)
Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie)

Gina Rodriguez took this award last year, and I think the Golden Globes will go with another CW rookie show this time around, with Rachel Bloom. Crazy Ex-Girlfriend hasn't gotten good ratings (despite positive reviews), but the Golden Globes can be pretty out there when it comes to television, so that's why I'm predicting a Rachel Bloom upset.







Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Casual
Mozart in the Jungle
Orange is the New Black
Silicon Valley
Transparent
Veep

First it was basic cable comedies getting left out, but look at this field of nominees. Besides Silicon Valley and Veep, every other nominee is from a streaming/online service (Amazon, Hulu or Netflix). Who knows if this is going to continue in the future. Anyways, onto my pick. I'm going with Transparent. It was able to build on its premiere season and develop fairly successfully. Its second season proved that its anything but a one-hit wonder.







Best Actor Television Series, Drama:
Jon Hamm (Madmen)
Rami Malek (Mr. Robot)
Wagner Moura (Narcos)
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
Liev Schreiber (Ray Donovan)

Probably sick of hearing this already, but........the Golden Globes like new TV. Not only that, but as I mentioned with Actress-TV Comedy, they also like to surprise. That's why I'm going not with Bob Odenkirk, but Rami Malek. Mr. Robot was a buzz-worthy show, but it didn't seem like a show merely made for critics.








Best Actress Television Series, Drama:
Caitriona Balfe (Outlander)
Viola Davis (How to Get Away With Murder)
Eva Green (Penny Dreadful)
Taraji P. Henson (Empire)
Robin Wright (House of Cards)

What a loaded field of nominees. While Outlander is finally getting recognized, I'm going with a dangerous precedent when it comes to the Globes (The Emmy winner), and going with Viola Davis. Everything she does in HTGAWM is just brilliant, with her deception and scheming at every turn. This award could go any number of ways, but I'm going with the safe, and deserved route.








Best Television Series, Drama:
Empire
Game of Thrones
Mr. Robot
Narcos
Outlander

A mix of some new and familiar faces. Now, remember when I said Outlander finally got recognized? I think it gets a little more than that, it takes home this Golden Globe. Over the last couple of years, fans have been complaining, and rightfully so, about Outlander's constant snub from awards shows. I think the Globes will recognize that, and give it the top prize.







Best Original Song, Motion Picture:
"Love Me Like You Do" (Fifty Shades of Grey)
"One Kind of Love" (Love & Mercy)
"See You Again" (Furious 7)
"Simple Song #2" (Youth)
"Writing's on the Wall" (Spectre)

There's a good chance we could see a vastly different looking field once the Oscar's come around, but first its the Golden Globes. This appears to be between Brian Wilson's "One Kind of Love" and the Top 40 hit "Love Me Like You Do". I went back and forth, and while I think its highly possible "One Kind Of Love" could take it (and rightfully so), "Love Me Like You Do" is just such a beautiful and well-made song, that I think it takes Best Original Song. This was a scenario where the Fifty Shades soundtrack was vastly superior to the actual film.








Best Original Score, Motion Picture:
Carter Burwell (Carol)
Alexandre Desplat (The Danish Girl)
Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight)
Daniel Pemberton (Steve Jobs)
Ryuichi Sakamoto, Alvaa Noto (The Revenant)

Much like Original Song, the Original Score Oscar picture could be vastly different if John Williams is included for Star Wars: Force Awakens (he could even be the current Oscar favorite). But with this field, I think it goes to Carter Burwell. His score for Carol is just so sublime.







Best Screenplay, Motion Picture:
Emma Donoghue (Room)
Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer (Spotlight)
Charles Randolph, Adam McKay (The Big Short)
Aaron Sorkin (Steve Jobs)
Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)

When it comes to Screenplay, Tarantino is usually a safe bet, but The Hateful Eight has gotten some lukewarm reviews (still mostly positive, but still). This could be between Spotlight and The Big Short, and I'm going with the Spotlight duo of Tom McCarthy/Josh Singer. The writing for Spotlight is what elevated it to its current status.







Best Director, Motion Picture:
Todd Haynes (Carol)
Alejandro Inarritu (The Revenant)
Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
Ridley Scott (The Martian)

Just how the ultimate Best Picture race looks crowded, so does the Best Director race. You could make a case for McCarthy and Haynes, but I think George Miller takes it for Mad Max:Fury Road. Much like J.J Abrams, Miller (who has been the director for prior Mad Max films, so not entirely similar situations), brought the franchise back to the forefront. He made it more than just a typical summer blockbuster.









Best Supporting Actor, any Motion Picture:
Paul Dano (Love & Mercy)
Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Michael Shannon (99 Homes)
Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Another field that could look different once the Oscars roll around, but I think the frontrunner is right here. I'm going with Sylvester Stallone. Creed provided Stallone with a bit of a career renaissance. This would make for a nice comeback of sorts.








Best Supporting Actress, any Motion Picture:
Jane Fonda (Youth)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
Helen Mirren (Trumbo)
Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina)
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Depending on what the Oscars do, we very likely could see Rooney Mara go from Best Actress to Supporting Actress (where she'd be the presumptive favorite). But with this current field, its hard to really sort out. My pick is Alicia Vikander for Ex Machina. That's the kind of role that should be rewarded.








Best Motion Picture, Foreign Language:
The Brand New Testament
The Club
The Fencer
Mustang
Son of Saul

So this prediction is a pure shot in the dark. Literally, I just went on IMDB and Rotten Tomatoes to see which film had the better reviews. With that being said, I'm going Mustang.








Best Motion Picture, Animated:
Anomalisa
The Good Dinosaur
Inside Out
The Peanuts Movie
Shaun the Sheep Movie

There have been upsets before in Best Animated, but I don't see that happening here. Inside Out seems like the heavy favorite, and it gets the win.








Best Actor Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
Christian Bale (The Big Short)
Steve Carell (The Big Short)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
Al Pacino (Danny Collins)
Mark Ruffalo (Infinitely Polar Bear)

This could ultimately be between the two Big Short actors. Narrowing it down to those two, I'm going with Steve Carell. This role is a continued trend where he's being seen as a more serious actor, from Foxcatcher last year, to The Big Short.








Best Actress Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
Melissa McCarthy (Spy)
Amy Schumer (Trainwreck)
Maggie Smith (The Lady in the Van)
Lily Tomlin (Grandma)

2015 was a great year for Amy Schumer, and I think it carries over. Trainwreck showed that not only can Amy do stand-up and TV, but she now has another lane where she can also dominate.









Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
The Big Short
Joy
The Martian
Spy
Trainwreck

There's a chance that 2 of these films will ultimately get a Best Picture nomination, but 1 has a legit chance at the ultimate prize, The Big Short. Its been gaining a considerable amount of buzz recently, and deservedly so. It takes a complicated, economical matter in the 2008 recession, and explains it while still being entertaining.








Best Actor Motion Picture, Drama:
Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
Will Smith (Concussion)

Field is certainly stacked with a lot of notable names, but this seems to finally be the year that Leonoard DiCaprio gets his awards circuit due (with dreams of an Oscar), and it starts right here.








Best Actress Motion Picture, Drama:
Cate Blanchett (Carol)
Brie Larson (Room)
Rooney Mara (Carol)
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

This race seems to be between Brie Larson and Saoirse Ronan. In a pure toss-up, I'm going with Saoirse Ronan. I think Brooklyn will be fresher on voters' minds, plus more people have seen it (for whatever that's worth). 









Best Motion Picture, Drama:
Carol
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

Probably one of the toughest fields to judge (I've said that a lot, I know). You could make a case for every film here to come away the winner (besides The Revenant....famous last words). With all that being said, I'm going with the early "front-runner" (if you can even have a front-runner in this loaded field), Spotlight. Its been called the "All The President's Men" of today. A concise take on the Catholic Priest scandal. 

































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