Wednesday, February 1, 2017

Super Bowl Preview




Its almost time to watch who will win it all at "The Big Game". Will Brady + Belichick get yet another title, continuing this unprecedented run? Or will Atlanta get just its 2nd major championship as a city and see Matt Ryan enter the ranks of one of the top QBs today with a ring? Time for my position by position breakdown


QBs
Patriots - Tom Brady

12 Games/starts, 67.4 compl%, 3,554yds 28TDs/2INTs


Falcons - Matt Ryan
16 Games/starts, 69.9 compl%, 4,944yds, 38TDs/7INTs

A pretty even QB match-up. On one hand, you have Brady and his prior super bowl experience. Missing the first 4 games of the season due to suspension didn't seem to slow him down, as he threw only a pair of INTs on the year. But with Matt Ryan, you have a top MVP candidate as he put up a personal best kind of season. 

edge: Even






RBs
Patriots - LeGarrette Blount
16 Games/8 Starts, 299rushes/1,161yds 18TDS,   7rec/38yds


Falcons - DeVonta Freeman
16 Games/starts, 227rushes/1,079yds 11TDs, 54rec/462yds 2TDs

Freeman is the better receiving back in this matchup, but Blount gets the overall edge. Blount set the standard this season when it comes to rushing TDs. A major key for the Falcons on defense will be trying to control him.

edge: Patriots





WRs
Patriots- Julian Edelman
16 Games/13 starts, 98rec/1,106yds 3TDs

Chris Hogan
15 Games/14 starts, 38rec/680yds 4TDs


Falcons - Julio Jones
14 Games/starts, 83rec/1,409yds 6TDs

Justin Hardy
16 games/3 starts, 21rec/203yds 4TDs

The Patriots have a good 1-2 combo with Edelman and Hogan (the latter who had an explosive game in the AFC title game). But there's just no matching Julio Jones. Much like with Blount, the big ask for the Patriots' defense will be trying to figure out Jones.

edge: Falcons








TEs
Patriots - Martellus Bennett
16games/12starts, 55rec/701yds 7TDs


Falcons - Austin Hooper
14games/3starts, 19rec/271yds 3TDs


Both teams have been hit with TE injuries, the Pats with Rob Gronkowski and the Falcons with Jacob Tamme. Luckily for the Pats, they have Bennett who is a solid target for Brady in his own right.

edge: Patriots






DEs
Patriots - Chris Long
16games/7starts, 1FF/1FR, 4scks 22tckls

Trey Flowers
16games/8starts, 2FR, 7scks 23tckls


Falcons - Brooks Reed
15games/7starts, 1FF, 2scks 14tckls

Tyson Jackson
16games/7starts, 5tckls


With the veteran Chris Long, along with Flowers and his pass rush moves, the Patriots have the edge in this matchup.

edge: Patriots









DTs
Patriots - Alan Branch
16games/15starts, 1.5scks 26tckls

Malcom Brown
16games/13starts, 1FF, 3scks 24tckls


Falcons - Jonathan Babineaux
16games/6starts, 14tckls

Grady Jarrett
16games/14starts, 1FR, 3scks 21tckls

Branch and Brown provide the Patriots with a nice balance in the trenches.

edge: Patriots








LBs
Patriots - Shea McClellin
14games/4starts, 2FR, 1sck 16tckls

Dont'a Hightower
13games/starts, 1FF, 2.5scks 31tckls

Rob Ninkovich
12games/11starts, 2FF, 4scks 17tckls


Falcons - Vic Beasley
16games/12starts, 6FF/1FR, 15.5scks 32tckls

Deion Jones
15games/13starts, 3INTs/2TDs, 1FF 75tckls

De'Vondre Campbell
11games/10starts, 1INT, 1FF 35tckls

The Patriots LBs collectively put up a strong effort, but the Falcons featured more playmakers, especially with sack leader Vic Beasley and Deion Jones and his takeaways.

edge: Falcons











CBs
Patriots - Logan Ryan




16games/13starts, 2INTs, 1FF, 1sck 73tckls

Malcolm Butler
16games/starts, 4INTs, 1FF, 1sck 48tckls


Falcons - Robert Alford
16games/starts, 2INTs/1TD 50tckls

Jalen Collins
8games/6starts, 2INTs 28tckls

Malcolm Butler makes the difference here, paired with Logan Ryan

edge: Patriots








Safeties
Patriots - Patrick Chung


16games/starts, 1INT, 1FR, 1sck 48tckls

Devin McCourty
16games/starts, 1INT, 1FF 64tckls


Falcons - Ricardo Allen
16games/starts, 2INTs 61tckls

Keanu Neal
14games/starts, 5FF/1FR 72tckls

Chung and McCourty have both been solid, but Keanu Neal (in his rookie year) has been quite the presence for the Falcons secondary. (sidenote: I profiled him during my steelers draft prospect series a year ago). 

edge: Falcons









Kickers
Patriots - Stephen Gostkowski




16games, 27/32FGs, 53long

Falcons - Matt Bryant
16games, 34/37FGs, 59long

Two quality kickers. He may have been added by playing his home games in a dome, but I'll give the slight edge to the longtime vet Matt Bryant.

edge: Falcons




Punter
Patriots - Ryan Allen
16games, 72punts, 58long 44.7avg

Falcons - Matt Bosher
15games, 44punts, 68long, 46.8avg

With how active the Falcons offense was this season, they didn't have to use much of Bosher. That being said, both Allen and Bosher seem fairly even

edge: even




Now time for my ultimate pick. I expect we'll get a close contest, going down to the wire. You never want to bet against Brady, but one item that popped out to me was the fact that Matt Ryan threw receiving TDs to 13 different players. That's right, 13. That amount of depth could be enough for the Falcons to pull this off.


31-27 Falcons
























Tuesday, January 24, 2017

SNL Season 42: Aziz Ansari




Another big show, coming off of the inauguration. How would Aziz do his first time hosting? Onto the review




Vladimir Putin Cold Open: A bit of a surprising cold open, with Beck Bennett as Putin talking to America following Trump's inauguration. He tries to assure that everything will be fine, while also trolling Trump for his inauguration crowd size and the women's march the following day. There was also a nice cameo by Kate McKinnon's Olya, who has her eyes on Putin and Trump. SNL continues to find inventive ways to cover Trump without having to always use Alec Baldwin. (9.0)



Monologue: Much like Dave Chappelle's stand-up following the election, this was an important opening for Aziz Ansari. He discussed the rise of the "lower case kkk" following Trump's candidacy, and the amount of people resisting Trump. (9.4)




Beat The Bookworm: (5.6)


La La Land Interrogation: Beck and Cecily Strong play police officers interrogating Aziz over his indifference to La La Land. This was a good twist, getting to fandoms and how defensive they can get when the movie or show that they like gets critiqued. They closed with defending 'Westworld'. As a fan of La La Land, even I'll admit that this sketch was pretty perfect. (8.5) 



Kellyanne Conway (short): We get Kate's Kellyanne Conway back, where she performs 'Chicago' style of why she joined Trump's campaign. The production value (along with the performance itself) was fantastic. SNL finally moved on from their portrayal of a Conway that was reluctant being connected to Trump to what she's really after, name recognition. I mean, why else does she constantly go on the main news shows despite her supposed distaste of the media? (8.8)



Attorney Ad: (7.3)


(Big Sean): (5.5)



Weekend Update: Another solid Update. It seems the new Trump administration will be causing Update to be more politically front-loaded long past the election. 

Leslie Jones appeared to talk about her fascination with "Hidden Figures". She goes on to talk about a few other notable African-American figures and inventors in history that aren't as known. This was one of the best Leslie features I thought. It was both informative, along with her typical solid lines.

The second guest saw "Jake Rocheck" (Mikey Day) talk about being friend-zoned. Don't think this will be a recurring guest, really forgettable. (8.0)


Bedroom: Melissa Villasenor finally gets a starring sketch, and she showed why she was hired. She tries to talk dirty to her boyfriend Aziz, but struggles to find the right lines. Her delivery makes this work so well, from her "6th grader" line to her Owen Wilson impersonation.The audience was eating this up, so here's hoping for more big roles for Melissa. (8.9)




Five Stars (short): A more topical piece, dealing with Aziz and Bobby Moynihan both struggling to obtain five stars on Uber as a passenger and driver (respectively). They come to bond with one another, moving past stereotypes. The closing gag is the typical twist, but this was a well put together short. (8.0)




Pizza Town: (7.5)

(Big Sean): (6.7)


To Sir With Love: This was a nice tribute to outgoing President Obama. Cecily Strong sings "To sir with love", joined later by Sasheer Zamata. (8.5)





The back half original work lifted this show to one of the season's best. It was benefited from strong political pieces, including the Putin cold open (which was a pretty genius way of handling the heavy news-filled weekend). (7.82)

Dave Chappelle: 8.83
Tom Hanks: 8.03
Aziz Ansari: 7.82
Lin Manuel Miranda: 7.74
Felicity Jones: 7.62
Emma Stone: 7.56
Casey Affleck: 7.40
Margot Robbie: 7.38
John Cena: 7.19
Kristen Wiig: 7.09
Emily Blunt: 7.07
Benedict Cumberbatch: 6.60



Wednesday, January 18, 2017

SNL Season 42: Felicity Jones




SNL returned for their first show of 2017. The last show before the inauguration, how would their political coverage evolve into the new year and administration? Onto the review.






Donald Trump Press Conference - Cold Open: What a wild week in politics. An unverified dossier on Russia and Trump was released by Buzzfeed in whole, and reported by CNN. It included some wild accusations.....such as,,,well....."golden showers". Lets just say this has been a gold-mind for comedy, SNL included. The lines were "flowing" so to speak, as it dominated the Trump presser in this cold open. There were some other good lines as well, including how he'll replace "obamacare" with "The Affordable Care Act", and how healthcare doesn't matter because we're all doomed under Trump. But maybe the most underrated portion of this cold open was Cecily Strong who played Trump's lawyer who was present. Her dead-pan delivery was spot on. (8.5)


Monologue: The monologue was fairly standard. Felicity played off her nervousness on her hosting gig, and then we got a hologram Tina Fey to guide her along. She brought along such messages, including how SNL is reviewed "far too much"........sorry I guess? Haha. (6.7)



Beard Hunk: Another Bachelor parody. Seems the formula for these sketches are the same, with the women of SNL just cycling through with awkward one-liners. Never really hits home. (5.0)



Shondra & Malik (short): Leslie Jones and Kenan Thompson had great chemistry in this short. They played rivals, but car trouble brought them together. Maybe it didn't provide laugh out loud moments, but it was just well made (with a particular dark ending. Think "Farewell Mr. Bunting" a bit). (8.1)




Theater Donor: Mikey Day made this work. He plays an elderly man who's a top donor to a theater. Sitting through a play (featuring Beck Bennett and Kate McKinnon), he constantly gets attended to by his nurse (Felicity). This was great physical comedy. A stand-out moment for Day. (8.3)





The Princess and The Curse (short): (5.7)


Susan B. Anthony: (7.0)


(Sturgill Simpson): (9.0)


Weekend Update: Update has been on a roll in regard to political coverage. Its when Colin Jost and Michael Che shine the brightest. Che in particular had a pretty good moment when talking about the Jeff Sessions confirmation hearing.

The first guest was Pete Davidson, providing his first impressions on Trump's cabinet picks. I'll admit, he made some good observations.

Beck Bennett then saw a guest spot, trying out his pop vocal abilities. (8.4)



Movie Interview: This was a good take on how pretentious directors and the like can get with trying to make political points in promotion for movies that really don't have anything to do with anything. That was the case here, as Felicity, Beck and Kyle Mooney did a faux interview for "Hot Robot 3: Journey To Boob Mountain". The seriousness they take in this makes this work.




(Sturgill Simpson): (9.2)



Corporate Retreat: (7.5)



SNL did relatively well getting back into the swing of things for the new year. It'll be interesting going forward to see how they handle the new administration. As far as this show goes, Felicity Jones did a decent job. I think her nerves did show however throughout the episode. Sturgill Simpson on the other hand was an amazing music act. (7.62)


Dave Chappelle: 8.83
Tom Hanks: 8.03
Lin Manuel Miranda: 7.74
Felicity Jones: 7.62
Emma Stone: 7.56
Casey Affleck: 7.40
Margot Robbie: 7.38
John Cena: 7.19
Kristen Wiig: 7.09
Emily Blunt: 7.07
Benedict Cumberbatch: 6.60


Saturday, January 7, 2017

2017 Golden Globes




Awards season is upon us, with this Sunday's Golden Globes. One of the more fun and easy-going award shows with drinks abound; but the awards themselves could give us a glimpse into how the Oscars will shape up. And with that, here's my best take (accuracy not included).....




Best Supporting Actor, Limited Series, or Motion Picture for TV:
Sterling K. Brown - The People v. O.J Simpson
Hugh Laurie - The Night Manager
John Lithgow - The Crown
Christian Slater - Mr. Robot
John Travolta - The People v. O.J Simpson

As visually striking as Travolta's performance was, I think this goes to Sterling K. Brown. He really shined as Christopher Darden and  brought him to the forefront.




Best Supporting Actress, Limited Series or Motion Picture for TV:
Olivia Colman - The Night Manager
Lena Headey - Game Of Thrones
Chrissy Metz - This Is Us
Mandy Moore - This Is Us
Thandie Newton - Westworld

This could easily go to Lena Headey, but I'm going out on a limb with Chrissy Metz. She burst onto the scene on NBC's new hit This Is Us, portraying real-life struggles. 




Best Actor, Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
Riz Ahmed - The Night Of
Bryan Cranston - All The Way
Tom Hiddleston - The Night Manager
John Turturro - The Night Of
Courtney B. Vance - The People v. O.J Simpson

Gotta give this one to Courtney B. Vance. He really brought Johnnie Cochran back to life in this astounding performance.




Best Actress, Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
Riley Keough - The Girlfriend Experience
Sarah Paulson - The People v. O.J Simpson
Charlotte Rampling - London Spy
Kerry Washington - Confirmation
Felicity Huffman - American Crime

Another TV category, another People v. O.J win. Sarah Paulson brought out a side of Marcia Clark than we didn't know.




Best TV Limited Series or Motion Picture made for TV:
American Crime
The Dresser
The Night Manager
The Night Of
The People v. O.J Simpson: American Crime Story

I don't think there's any doubt, in a year of looking back at the O.J Simpson case, The People v. O.J Simpson brought us a look inside it all (along with the ESPN documentary). I wasn't sure how this series would play out leading up to it, but it was truly must-see TV.




Best Actor Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Anthony Anderson - Black-ish
Gael B. Bernal - Mozart In The Jungle
Donald Glover - Atlanta
Nick Nolte - Graves
Jeffrey Tambor - Transparent

The Globes love new TV, so last year's winner Bernal may already be an old thing in the HFPA's eyes. I think they're going to go with Donald Glover and his new FX hit.




Best Actress Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Rachel Bloom - Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Julia Louis-Dreyfus - Veep
Sarah Jessica Parker - Divorce
Issa Rae - Insecure
Gina Rodriguez - Jane The Virgin

Not sure Bloom will repeat here. I'm going with another rising star in Issa Rae.





Best Television Series, Musical or Comedy:
Atlanta
Black-ish
Mozart In The Jungle
Transparent
Veep

Could easily go Veep (especially with the 2016 election making it seem more fact than fiction), but I'm going with the hot new FX show Atlanta.




Best Actor Television Series, Drama:
Rami Malek - Mr. Robot
Bob Odenkirk - Better Call Saul
Matthew Rhys - The Americans
Liev Schreiber - Ray Donovan
Billy Bob Thornton - Goliath

I was leaning towards Thornton, but with The Americans winding down, I think they give it its due with Matthew Rhys. Seems to be a show that gets under-appreciated when it comes to awards. 




Best Actress Television Series, Drama:
Caitriona Balfe - Outlander
Claire Foy - The Crown
Keri Russell - The Americans
Winona Ryder - Stranger Things
Evan Rachel Wood - Westworld

Could see this going to either Foy or Wood, but I think they recognize a familiar name in Winona Ryder for the Netflix hit  Stranger Things.




Best Television Series, Drama:
Game Of Thrones
Stranger Things
This Is Us
Westworld
The Crown

I'd love for This Is Us to take this, but I think Stranger Things is going to win. It just burst out there, becoming a major hit for Netflix and a buzz-worthy show.




Best Original Song, Motion Picture:
"Can't Stop The Feeling" - Trolls
"City Of Stars" - La La Land
"Faith" - Sing
"Gold" - Gold
"How Far I'll Go" - Moana

This could go a number of ways. While "Can't Stop The Feeling" was the song of the summer, and "How Far I'll Go" produced another top Disney song, I'm going with "City Of Stars". The musical of the group gets recognized.




Best Original Score, Motion Picture:
Nicholas Britell - Moonlight
Justin Hurwitz - La La Land
Johann Johannsson - Arrival
Dustin O'Halloran, Hauschka - Lion
Hans Zimmer, Pharrell Williams, Benjamin Wallfisch - Hidden Figures

Could go a number of ways here. Some major players in this field from Zimmer to Johannsson. But I'm going with the musical here and Justin Hurwitz.




Best Screenplay, Motion Picture:
Damien Chazelle - La La Land
Tom Ford - Nocturnal Animals
Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester By The Sea
Taylor Sheridan - Hell Or High Water

Could be a fierce battle, and a tell for how the best picture race will shape up (among other categories). I'm going with Kenneth Lonergan.




Best Director, Motion Picture:
Damien Chazelle - La La Land
Tom Ford - Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson - Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins - Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan - Manchester By The Sea

Much like Screenplay, this field could be unpredictable. Hedging my bets a bit, I'm going with Barry Jenkins. This would make the race between Manchester By The Sea and Moonlight fairly even, no matter who takes Best Picture Drama, leading towards the Oscars (both will rival La La Land of course).




Best Supporting Actor, any Motion Picture:
Mahershala Ali - Moonlight
Jeff Bridges - Hell Or High Water
Simon Helberg - Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel - Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson - Nocturnal Animals

This seems fairly locked in. I'm going Mahershala Ali.




Best Supporting Actress, any Motion Picture:
Viola Davis - Fences
Naomie Harries - Moonlight
Nicole Kidman - Lion
Octavia Spencer - Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams - Manchester By The Sea

Another acting category that seems fairly settled, a win for Viola Davis, hopefully on her way towards an Oscar.




Best Motion Picture, Foreign Language:
Divines
Elle
Neruda
The Salesman
Toni Erdmann

The only thing I know here is that it'll probably come down to Elle or Toni Erdmann. So with a wild guess, I'm going Toni Erdmann.




Best Motion Picture, Animated:
Kubo And The Two Strings
Moana
My Life As A Zucchini
Sing
Zootopia

What a year it was for animated movies. You had all of these, along with Finding Dory which didn't get nominated. I'm going with the film that came out of the gate as a favorite, Zootopia. There were so many good lessons in there, with a unique way in showing them.





Best Actor Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
Colin Farrell - The Lobster
Ryan Gosling - La La Land
Hugh Grant - Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill - War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds - Deadpool

Writing here seems to be pointing towards Ryan Gosling




Best Actress Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
Annette Bening - 20th Century Woman
Lily Collins - Rules Don't Apply
Hailee Steinfeld - The Edge Of Seventeen
Emma Stone - La La Land
Meryl Streep - Florence Foster Jenkins

A little more unpredictable now. This seems to be down to Bening, Stone and Streep. If this ends up being a big night for La La Land, then I think it goes to Emma Stone, and that's what I'm going with.




Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy:
20th Century Woman
Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street

As close as Best Drama could be, this seems like it should be a runaway win for La La Land, propelling it towards the Oscars.




Best Actor Motion Picture, Drama:
Casey Affleck - Manchester By The Sea
Joel Edgerton - Loving
Andrew Garfield - Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen - Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington - Fences

Maybe Denzel pulls off an upset, but I'm going with Casey Affleck.




Best Actress Motion Picture, Drama:
Amy Adams - Arrival
Jessica Chastain - Miss Sloan
Isabelle Huppert - Elle
Ruth Negga - Loving
Natalie Portman - Jackie

This could go to Huppert or Negga, but I think they won't be able to resist going with Natalie Portman for the biographical piece Jackie. Much like Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady, the awards circuit seems to love roles like that, no matter how deserving or undeserving they may seem.




Best Motion Picture, Drama:
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell Or High Water
Lion
Manchester By The Sea
Moonlight

Looking like this will go down towards Manchester By The Sea or Moonlight. I've been going back and forth on this one. Initially leaning towards Manchester, I'm going to ultimately pick Moonlight. It has a growing buzz, plus its content is something that the movie landscape needs.