Sunday, February 3, 2019

Super Bowl LIII: Preview





QB:
Tom Brady

29TD/11INT    4,355yds   97.7RTG


Jared Goff

32TD/12INT  4,688yds  101.1RTG


Now stats wise, you'd think Goff would have the edge, but with the kind of offense that the Rams run (on-top of the weapons he has), you would expect that. When push comes to shove, Brady has the superbowl experience.

Edge: Patriots



RB:
James White

94car/425yds  5TDS     87rec/751yds  7TDs

Sonny Michel

209car/931yds 6TDS   7rec/50yds   1fumble/lost



Todd Gurley


256car/1,251yds 17TDs   59rec/580yds  4TDs   1fumble/lost

C.J Anderson

67car/403yds  2TDs



The Patriots RB corps have been the key to the Patriots offense, especially James White as a receiver. However, if Todd Gurley is back on his game, then him along with the diamond in the rough that they found late in the season with C.J Anderson, the edge here is clear.

Edge: Rams



WR:

Julian Edelman



74rec/850yds/6TDs  1 fumble

Cordarelle Patterson

21rec/247yds/3TDs   42car/228yds 1TD  1 fumble/lost

Chris Hogan

35rec/532yds/3TDs



Brandin Cooks

80rec/1,204yds/5TDs  1 fumble

Robert Woods

86rec/1,219yds/6TDs


What gave Brady the edge at QB was what he was able to do with that he had. With the powerhouse duo that's Cooks and Woods, there's really no contest here.

Edge: Rams


TE:
Rob Gronkowski

47rec/682yds/3TDs  1 fumble/lost


Tyler Higbee

24rec/292yds/2TDs  1 fumble

Even though Gronkowski has regressed from his prior peak form, he's still someone you have to specifically scheme against.

Edge: Patriots



DT:

Lawrence Guy

25tckls/1sck 1FF

Malcom Brown


19tckls



Ndamukong Suh

54tckls/4.5scks  2FR 4 def

Aaron Donald
41tckls/20.5scks 4FF 1def

I mean, with Aaron Donald alone, this is a mismatch. But when you add Suh (who can disappear at times, granted), its clear who has the edge.

Edge: Rams


DE:

Trey Flowers
32tckls/7.5scks 3FF 2def


Deatrich Wise Jr

15tckls/4.5scks


Michael Brockers

33tckls/1sck


With Flowers' emergence, particularly in the playoffs, the edge goes to New England.

Edge: Patriots


LB:
Dont'a Hightower

24tckls/1sck 1int 1def 1FR

Elandon Roberts

31tckls/1sck 4def

Kyle Van Noy

55tckls/3.5scks 1FF/2FR 1int 2def



Matt Longacre
8tckls 1sck



Samson Ebukam

25tckls/3scks 3FF/2FR 1int 1TD 1def

Cory Littleton

90tckls/4scks 3ints 13def 1TD

Mark Barron

43tckls/1sck 1FF 1def


This would be more or less even if not for Cory Littleton's ability to cover receivers. That puts the Rams over the top

Edge: Rams



CB:
Stephon Gilmore

40tckls/1sck 2FF/1FR 2ints 20def

Jason McCourty

54tckls 1FF 1int 10def



Marcus Peters


33tckls 3ints 8def 1TD

Aqib Talib

23tckls 1FF 1int 5def


Sam Shields

18tckls 1int 4def



Consistency gives this edge to the Patriots. The Rams were without Talib for a large stretch of the regular season, so with their secondary healthy, it does put them right in the thick of this positional matchup.

Edge: Patriots



S:
Patrick Chung

52tckls/0.5sck 1int 3def 1FR

Devin McCourty

59tckls/= 1FF/2FR 1int 4def 1TD



John Johnson III

82tckls 1FF 4int 11def

Lamarcus Joyner

58tckls/1sck 1int 3def 1FR


Johnson puts the Rams over the top at the safety position.

Edge: Rams



K:
Stephen Gostkowski


27/32fg 52lng 84.3%


Greg Zuerlein


27/31fg 56lng 87.1%


This is fairly close, but what puts it over the top for me is the clutch kicking from Zuerlein in the NFC Championship Game.

Edge: Rams



P:
Ryan Allen


64pnts 45yd avg 66lng 21 in 20


Johnny Hekker


43pnts 46yd avg 68lng 21 in 20

Again, a fairly even matchup....but Hekker's fake punt ability gives him the edge

Edge: Rams



I think we're in for a close game here. On one hand, you have Tom Brady with his experience, but Goff with more offensive weapons. The key will be the Rams defensive line featuring Suh and Donald. To get to Brady, you have to get after him. That seems a simple enough concept, but he's been protected well during this playoff run.

I think the x-factor will be Todd Gurley. There were some questions surrounding his health during his lack of production in the NFC Championship (where he was practically benched in favor of Anderson for a majority of the game), Gurley will have a lot to prove, and I think he'll have a big game.

In a close game, I'm picking the Rams (off of another clutch Zuerlein kick). 
  

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